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Exponential half-life model: remaining quantity and threshold time

Calculate an ideal exponential quantity and the time to a positive mathematical threshold.

A single-exponential decay example

Every half-life T_half reduces remaining quantity by 50%: N(t) = N0 * (0.5 ^ (t / T_half)) (equivalently N0 * EXP(-LN(2) * t / T_half)). Starting at N0 = 800 mg with a 5-hour half-life leaves 400 mg at 5h, 200 mg at 10h, and 100 mg at 15h (3 half-lives).

Inverting with natural logarithms LN solves the two reverse lab questions: (1) Threshold Time to drop to Target C2: t = T_half * LN(Target / N0) / LN(0.5); (2) Empirical Half-Life from two readings (N0 -> Nt over time t): T_half = t * LN(0.5) / LN(Nt / N0)!

Half-Life Equation (N0 = 800 mg, T_half = 5 hrs)FormulaResult
Remaining after t = 15 hrs=800 * (0.5 ^ (15 / 5))100.0 mg (12.5% left)
Hours to clear down to 25 mg=5 * LN(25 / 800) / LN(0.5)25.0 hours (5 half-lives)
Decay Constant lambda=LN(2) / 50.1386 hr^-1

Remaining quantity N(t) and threshold threshold-time formulas

Works seamlessly for fractional elapsed times t (e.g., t = 2.5 hours -> 0.5^0.5 = 70.71% remaining).

=ROUND(A2 * (0.5 ^ (C2 / B2)), 4)

Solve elapsed time required to decay down to Target D2

Uses logarithm base-change LN(Target / N0) / LN(0.5) * HalfLife.

=ROUND(B2 * (LN(D2 / A2) / LN(0.5)), 4)

Additional worked calculation

Using the initial example inputs:

=ROUND(C2 * (LN(0.5) / LN(100 / A2)), 4)

Inputs and interpretation

This is an ideal single-exponential mathematical model with positive half-life, nonnegative initial quantity and elapsed time. The logarithmic time formula requires 0 < target <= initial quantity. Exact zero is approached asymptotically, not reached at a finite time. Do not use this example to choose medication dosing, clearance or radiation-safety thresholds.

Try the example

Use the original values or change them to test your understanding.

Further reading