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Economics & Market Microstructure

Borda Count vs. Condorcet Winner Formula: Ranked Ballot Points & Pairwise Majority

Evaluate ranked-choice voter profiles by computing Jean-Charles de Borda’s positional score alongside Marquis de Condorcet’s pairwise head-to-head majority test—exposing when plurality, Borda, and Condorcet winners diverge!

Why a candidate who beats EVERY rival head-to-head (Condorcet Winner) can lose a Borda or plurality vote!

In 18th-century French social-choice theory, Jean-Charles de Borda (1770) proposed awarding m - 1, m - 2, ..., 0 positional points across m ranked options (2, 1, 0 points for 1st, 2nd, 3rd among 3 candidates), while the Marquis de Condorcet (1785) argued that an option defeating EVERY rival by > 50% in one-on-one pairwise comparisons is the true majority Condorcet Winner!

Remarkably, on a 100-voter ranked profile where 51 voters rank A > B > C, 2 voters rank B > A > C, and 47 voters rank B > C > A: Candidate A wins 51% outright (beating B 51-to-49 and C 53-to-47, making A the undisputed Condorcet Winner!), YET Candidate B scores 2*(2+47) + 1*(51) = 149 Borda points versus Candidate A’s 2*(51) + 1*(2) = 104 Borda points! Computing both side by side in your governance or product-prioritization sheet reveals consensus compromises versus strict majority winners!

Candidate Across 100 Ranked Ballots (51: A>B>C, 2: B>A>C, 47: B>C>A)Borda Score (1st=2, 2nd=1, 3rd=0)Pairwise Head-to-Head Record
Candidate A2*51 + 1*2 + 0*47 = 104 pts2-0 (Beats B 51–49 & C 53–47 -> Condorcet Winner!)
Candidate B2*(2+47) + 1*51 = 149 pts (Borda Winner!)1-1 (Loses to A 49–51, Beats C 100–0)
Candidate C1*47 = 47 pts0-2 (Condorcet Loser)

Candidate B Borda Count Score (2 pts per 1st-Place Rank + 1 pt per 2nd-Place Rank)

Weights voter bloc counts B2:B7 across the 6 strict rankings of {A, B, C} by Candidate B’s positional points (1, 2, 2, 1, 0, 0).

=IF(SUM(B2:B7) <= 0, "No Ballots Cast", B2 * 1 + B3 * 0 + B4 * 2 + B5 * 2 + B6 * 0 + B7 * 1)

Condorcet Winner Identifier Across All 6 Voter-Bloc Counts (A>B>C, A>C>B, B>A>C, B>C>A, C>A>B, C>B>A)

Tests pairwise head-to-head majorities (A vs B, A vs C, B vs C) to identify the unique Condorcet Winner—or detect a Condorcet Paradox cycle!

=IF(SUM(B2:B7) <= 0, "No Ballots Cast", IF(AND(B2 + B3 + B6 > (SUM(B2:B7) / 2), B2 + B3 + B4 > (SUM(B2:B7) / 2)), "Candidate A (Condorcet Winner)", IF(AND(B4 + B5 + B7 > (SUM(B2:B7) / 2), B2 + B4 + B5 > (SUM(B2:B7) / 2)), "Candidate B (Condorcet Winner)", IF(AND(B5 + B6 + B7 > (SUM(B2:B7) / 2), B3 + B6 + B7 > (SUM(B2:B7) / 2)), "Candidate C (Condorcet Winner)", "No Condorcet Winner (Tie or Majority Cycle!)"))))

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Further reading